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TM, ®, Copyright © 2007 Piero Scaruffi All rights reserved.

Articles on Iran after 2007
What the hostages mean
Islamic justice
Articles on Iran before 2007

  • (March 2007) Islamic justice.
    On april 18 an Iranian court sent free six men who committed murders in the name of Islam (in Kerman in 2002). In practice, they were serial killers. Two of the victims were a couple of lovers who were guilty of walking together in public before the wedding. A little known fact is that Islamic law allows men (only men) to carry out "moral murders", i.e. to kill people who are suspected of behaving immorally. Note that the only requirement is the "suspicion". The killer does not need to prove that his suspicion is correct. If his suspicion turns out to be correct, the Islamic court sends him free. If his suspicion turns out to be incorrect, but he convinces the Islamic court that he acted in good faith, the court still sends him free but pays some compensation to the family (if the innocent victim was a man, the compensation is twice the amount than if it was a woman). Adultery and insults to Mohammed (whom Muslims believe to be a prophet sent by their god) are examples of cases in which a man is allowed under Islamic law to kill. This is not the first case, just the most shocking for non-Muslims who are not used to the brutality of Islam. In 2005 a police officer shot dead a man on the subway (in Karaj) because he thought the man was behaving immorally. A 16 year old girl was hanged in 2004 (in Neka) because she had lost her virginity. In all these cases the killers are routinely sent home after a review of the evidence not of their actions but of the actions of the victims.
    The Islamic Republic is an insult to the great civilization of Iran, the mother of Western civilization.
    TM, ®, Copyright © 2007 Piero Scaruffi All rights reserved.
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  • (March 2007) What the hostages mean. Out of the blue, Iran seized 15 British sailors and claimed that they had crossed into Iranian waters. Nothing would surprise the world more than the news that some sailors have made a mistake in one of the messiest parts of the world, but Iran's actions (keeping the sailors prisoners for days and days, publicizing the event, forcing them to confess, showing images on world television, attacking Britain as if these were 15 veteran spies) obviously prove that Iran has a motive behind this charade. That this happens at the peak of the crisis over Iran's nuclear programme cannot be a complete coincidence.
    It is unlikely that Iranian officials are so naive to think that holding 15 British citizens hostage would be enough to convince the United Nations (and particularly the USA) to drop the nuclear issue. One is tempted to think that Iran simply wants to distract the world's opinions and their governments from the real issue. The more they talk about the 15 sailors (that the entire world is calling "hostages" and not "prisoners"), the less they talk about Iran's nuclear programme. But this too would be naive: the world's media may talk less about the nuclear issue, but the concern about Iran's nuclear programme is simply heightened by episodes like this one that show Iran's erratic behavior.
    There can be another reading of this episode: that Iran is testing the West's willingness to use force. Britain could have launched a blockade of Iranian ports, or at least demanded that the European Union severe all ties with Iran. Instead, Britain (led by the same Tony Blair who declared war on Saddam Hussein) has chosen to use quiet diplimacy. The USA sent warships to stage "manouvres" in front of Iran's coast, but that too sends the same message: the West has lots of weapons, but is not willing to use them for the real thing. What's the point of piling up so many carriers if they can't even prevent a small country like Iran from kidnapping Western sailors at will?
    When Hezbollah kidnapped Israeli soldiers, Israel launched a massive invasion of Lebanon. Its goal was to eliminate Hezbollah. Israel failed badly to achieve that goal and was widely regarded by the Arab public opinion has being less dangerous than advertised. Iran emerged more confident than ever, as the most immediate threat to its nuclear program came from Israel (that bombed Saddam Hussein's nuclear plant and could have been tempted to do the same to Iran).
    Now the crisis with Britain is eliminating the other suspects: the Coalition that is fighting in Iraq and has 150,000 soldiers stationed next door to Iran. The crisis is proving to the leaders of Iran that these Coalition countries have no desire for another military confrontation.
    There could be three consequences. One is that Iran will be even less interested in hearing what the United Nations has to say about its nuclear program. Sanctions alone rarely intimidate dictatorships.
    The second consequence is that Iran will simply proceed to the next step of confrontation with the West. It doesn't have to be something spectacular. Iran is not interested in escalating tensions, but in humiliating the West. Knowing that the West will not use force, Iran will continue to provoke while steering away from violent acts. This attitude can only gain Iran a lot of sympathy across the Islamic world, while continuously diminishing the prestige of the Western "powers".
    The third consequence is that Iran (and everybody else) will be even less willing to behave in Iraq. Iran can kidnap Western soldiers, and the Iraqi insurgents kill a few of them every day. There is hardly any reason to be afraid of these Western powers.
    TM, ®, Copyright © 2007 Piero Scaruffi All rights reserved.
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  • Articles on Iran before 2007
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