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TM, ®, Copyright © 2010 Piero Scaruffi All rights reserved.

Articles after 2010
A report from Turkey.
Turkey's goodbye or aurevoir?
Articles before 2010

  • (march 2011) A report from Turkey.
    (Note: my website is banned in Turkey; Turkish residents cannot read my articles).

    Turkey is a colossal museum of ancient civilizations. It was occupied and invaded by all sorts of civilizations. Luckily, most of them did not destroy the previous one, so we can still view the remains. The current occupier is Turkey, a republic that was the first Islamic country to try and limit the influence of Islam. It is probably a model for all the other Islamic countries of the Middle East who are going through their own republican revolutions in 2011. It is therefore the most "westernized" and modernized of Islamic countries. It is impressive how existentially simple the Turkish people are. They are content with (and highly disciplied in) their simple routines and social roles while clad in Western clothes and administered by a Western infrastructure. The economic boom of Turkey (whose economy is rapidly catching up with the snail economies of Western Europe) proves that progress can coexist with Islam (although a tamed version of it), with overpopulation (Istanbul is the largest metropolis in Europe and one of the largest in the world) and with scant natural resources. It also proves that history makes sense: Turkey is the descendant of the Ottoman empire, and the Ottoman Empire was one of the world's powers at the time of the British and French empires. It is simply coming back after a century of adjustment. Turkey is much freer than China but Turkey too limits the freedom of expression. All websites that mention the Armenian genocide are blocked, including my www.scaruffi.com Turkey's schools seem very efficient at brainwashing the young generation with a very biased view of history. Luckily for the West, that view is mostly anti-Ottoman. Turkey is therefore another case of imperfect democracy that delivers more than the canonical democracies of Western Europe.

    TM, ®, Copyright © 2010 Piero Scaruffi All rights reserved.
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  • (june 2010) Turkey's goodbye or aurevoir?
    (Note: my website is banned in Turkey; Turkish residents cannot read my articles).

    A number of independent moves by Turkey in reference to Syria, Iran and Israel have been widely interpreted as a conscious decision by Turkey to move away from the West and create an independent pole of emerging countries if not a de-facto alliances of Islamic countries. The truth might be less about what Turkey has decided to do and more about how the circumstances have changed. For six decaded Turkey lived in a world in which Europe was prospering, Israel was the only other democracy in the Middle East, and the USA was a superpower. Over the last few years this world order has taken a hit: the European economy is collapsing under the weight of unsustainable national debts, Israel has become a rogue state from the point of view of world public opinion, and the USA's hegemony is challenged by China especially after de facto losing the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan. Why in heaven should Turkey stick to an alliance with a Europe that is getting rapidly poorer, with an Israel that is rapidly becoming the pariah of the civilized world, and with a USA that is losing every war it starts? It is quite natural that Turkey be attracted to the emerging new powers (from China to Brazil), to the Arab countries (that look a lot less uncivilized after Israel's indiscriminate massacres) and to other military alliances. The fact that the European Union refused to let Turkey join has not so much exacerbated the problem as missed an opportunity to prevent it. The fact that the Turkish economy grew by 11% in the first quarter of 2010 versus the eurozone's 1% makes the whole point irrelevant: if the trend continues, is will be Europe to need Turkey and not Turkey to need Europe. Those who didn't study history have forgotten that Turkey used to be called "Ottoman Empire" and ruled what is now called the Middle East. There was a reason.

    TM, ®, Copyright © 2010 Piero Scaruffi All rights reserved.
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  • Articles before 2010

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